Israel’s attacks on Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon will have been worth the effort only if there is follow-up action that establishes a demilitarized buffer between Israel and Lebanon, and ensures Hezbollah does not re-arm.
The follow-up probably will have to involve French troops. Fortunately, French troops aren’t busy these days, and coincidentally, French President Jacques Chirac has been spending lots of time kissing up to Arab and Persian dictators. So if the sides agree to stop fighting, French troops have a chance to keep peace with relative ease.
The French reportedly are considering seriously a plan to patrol the Israel-Lebanon border for the United Nations. Good for them (and I’ll believe it when I see it). If this bloody battle rekindles in French democrats a sense of global responsibility, perhaps more than one good thing will have come from so much sorrow.
Frank Warner
I'll wager 25 cents that if the French are involved, Hezbollah will continue to re-arm, and Israel will start doing bombing runs over french heads.
They've already said that if the peacekeeping force doesn't stop the flow, the bombs will begin dropping again.
Posted by: Kevin | August 05, 2006 at 02:27 PM
A buffer area patrolled by drones would help. The French could handle it, and they seem a little more committed to Lebanon than most countries.
If there are violations of the orders to disarm, the Lebanese government should be required to stop those violators. This will be a test for that government, too.
Posted by: Frank Warner | August 05, 2006 at 06:08 PM
There is just no way that Hezbollah will disarm short of it's complete destruction. I know I sure wouldn't. If they lose their military, their political people will disappear as well from the loss of face. Who would willingly choose that option when their reason for being (Israel) still exists?
There is much more blood loss coming :(
Posted by: Kevin | August 05, 2006 at 09:18 PM
It is just possible Hezbollah eventually could be content with political power, rather than criminal fire power.
If they gain in the Lebanese government in the next round of elections, they'll have to consider their responsibilities to all of Lebanon, not only to themselves and their megalomaniacal hatreds.
Posted by: Frank Warner | August 05, 2006 at 10:47 PM
Well, that would require a sea change, as it seems they don't consider they have any responsibilities to the Lebanese whatsoever.
For example, they use Lebanese as human shields, and they have brought violence, misery and destruction to Lebanon in their bloodlust.
Seems like there's a long way to go yet...
Posted by: Nicholas | August 06, 2006 at 12:01 AM
Yep. A lot of things would have to go right.
Posted by: Frank Warner | August 06, 2006 at 02:21 AM